A Trap for the U.S.? or What's the point of China's mediation in Ukraine?

Elena Panina (Елена Панина)
Director of the RUSSTRAT Institute

Why is China trying to reconcile Russia and Ukraine? Many analysts are asking themselves this fair question. After all, for such a reconciliation to take place, Ukraine must first be freed from the yoke of U.S. domination. It is necessary to completely change the ruling class there, remove all Western intelligence agents, all agents of influence from the country, change the system of education of the population and the formation of the ruling elites.

In essence, it is necessary to make a revolution in Ukraine. But such a revolution is absolutely impossible without the military defeat of the entire combined West involved in the battle with Russia on the banks of the Dnieper.

The current authorities in Ukraine are puppets completely dependent on Washington, whose personal fate depends on the extent to which they are able to implement American interests.

■ Talking to Vladimir Zelensky about peace with Russia is as useless as talking to the United States about universal security. Washington's goal is not peace, but domination, for only this, in its mind, guarantees its security.

For America to be safe, all others must be in danger. If there is no such danger, then the U.S. itself is in danger. The search for ways to be dangerous to all the countries of the world has been engaged in by the United States throughout its history, and this is the basis of its conception of foreign policy.

It is pursued only from a position of strength. If there is no force, Washington assures us, then the rivals can impose their conditions on the United States. Because they themselves would do exactly that, if they could.

■ Negotiations with Russia on the initiative of the PRC on a ceasefire in Ukraine is a global defeat for the U.S. And they will lose to Russia and China.

Can the United States do that? Never, not even under the threat of nuclear war. Because this is not a damage of its image that can somehow be drowned out by the media. After that, the United States will simply begin to disintegrate as a state.

The Chinese leaders understand all this very well. So why do they offer their mediation, knowing in advance that neither they nor their proposals will ever be accepted by the U.S.? This is important to understand before deciding how to treat Beijing's initiative.

■ The Chinese proposal is officially based on a prototype in the form of negotiations between Iran and Saudi Arabia. But it is clear that there is no analogy here with the Ukraine-Russia problem. Neither the IRI nor the KSA are U.S. puppets like Ukraine. There is no conflict between them, as the Americans have created between Russia and Ukraine.

What does China really want?

China's goal, above all, is to establish itself in the Third World as a reliable center for solving other people's conflicts.

The Third World is conflict-ridden, and U.S. arbitration there does not mean seeking compromise, but launching a goat into a cabbage patch. The states are not solving other people's problems, but are deepening them: they are solving their own selfish problems first and foremost. The deeper the conflicts of others, the stronger America's power.

■ Chinese political culture is based on an entirely different philosophy, created long before Confucius, who simply summarized Chinese civilizational experience. It is not a search for victory, but a search for interaction and harmony.

"Come to me, all you who are weary and burdened, I will bear your burdens" - this is how, figuratively speaking, in terms of Russian Orthodox culture, the call that China is now making to the world looks like. And thus China puts the world before a choice: either the United States with all the consequences, or China. Do you want eternal problems? Work with the Americans. Want solutions to problems? Come to us.

China declares itself the center of a new world order, an alternative world centered in the United States. IRI and KSA are a successful case that showed everyone a new arbiter. It won't work that way in Ukraine, but the planet will see that the arbiter is making efforts and the U.S. is undermining them. It's a long game.

■ The U.S. understands this and is angry because it has no counterplay. And that's why they are building up a weak position. The escalation in Ukraine is a trap for the Americans. China's moral superiority over the United States is what Beijing's peace initiatives serve.

The realization of this superiority will manifest itself later. The redistribution of the world with Xi Jinping's visit to Moscow has entered a new phase.

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Source: Елена Панина. Translation: DeepL.com. IMG: Screengrab/Twitter/ISPI (asiatimes.com)
AWIP: http://www.a-w-i-p.com/index.php/2023/03/21/a-trap-for-the-u