Has Nassim Taleb’s Black Swan Been Spotted?

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Black swan event, high-impact event that is difficult to predict under normal circumstances but that in retrospect appears to have been inevitable. A black swan event is unexpected and therefore difficult to prepare for but is often rationalized with the benefit of hindsight as having been unavoidable. (Britannica)

Nassim Taleb recently wrote of de-dollarization on twitter. I believe that the Black Swan event we have been waiting for is the simultaneous humiliation of the US military on multiple fronts causing a sudden and catastrophic collapse of the dollar. The Good News is that the Liberal Establishment that has been bleeding us dry for decades might also die.

We ought not to think of Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, the War on Terror and NATO’s project in the Ukraine as separate events but as just different phases of One Unwinnable Forever War. When I was in high school, I asked how real the Cold War could be if both sides had the same Bankers, the Rockefellers and the Rothschilds? If the Bankers own your government, then think of war as a means to make them richer and you poorer. Of course, tens of millions of us had to die to make the whole thing seem real on the TV.

To understand government in Europe, the UK, Canada, the US, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand, you must learn to think like a Banker. He sees you as a means to enrich himself. He knows that the purpose of the government he owns is to make himself richer and to keep you in your place.

Dr Mark Skidmore has found from government sources that $17 trillion went missing from the DOD (Dept of Defense) and HUD (Housing and Urban Development) from 1998 to 2015. I have pointed out before that the CBO (Congressional Budget Office) revealed total military spending is really $1.51 trillion when we add in spending from 6 other agencies. For example, nuclear weapons are often paid for by the Dept of Energy.

Banker Occupied Governments are jailing people for speaking the truth about America’s Unwinnable Forever War and refusing to believe the lies they require us to believe so they may stay in power.

Those lies bring us directly to their Ukraine project. It has made NATO clients in Kiev very rich. Zelensky just bought his 5th overseas mansion. His latest comes with vineyards in Italy that he bought from the entertainer known as Sting. But 600,000 Ukrainian soldiers have already died. Many were killed while undergoing surgery so that their organs could be sold to wealthy patients overseas who needed the heart or liver or kidney or lungs of younger men who had passed the physical for military service in the Ukrainian army.

Ukraine lost over 14,000 soldiers in their Kursk publicity stunt. Ukraine is losing their final line of defense in the Donbas. Pokrovsk is an old rail center that acts as a supply point for the Ukrainian army in that region. When Pokrovsk falls, the whole of Donbass will follow. It is Ukraine’s last good defense line. If soldiers have to fight in the open, Ukrainian casualties will go from 2,000 a day to 3,000 or more. Why would another 100,000 men choose to die to make the Democrats look good on TV until election day? Trump will tell them the war is over. He has said they have already wasted too many young men in this futile war.

The other war to be affected will be Netanyahu’s Genocide in Gaza. Bibi has been doing everything he can start a war with Iran. The one-year anniversary of the war in Gaza is less than a month away. Someone will be tempted to do something spectacular on or before October 7th.

The US military cannot defeat the Houthis. The DOD knows we would lose against Iran. When the US went off the gold exchange standard in 1971, we replaced it with the US Military standard. That means, according to Ron Paul, that we will bomb your country if you do not give us your oil for our increasingly worthless US Treasury bonds and dollars.

A serious defeat in Ukraine would hurt our image because the Russians learned in 3 months how to use Electronic Warfare to reduce the accuracy of our best NATO weapons from 55% to less than 7%. The whole world will see that they no longer have to fear American aircraft carriers. Just ask the Iranians for a few of their missiles.

Iran has a Mach 14 missile which they gave to Yemen. The Houthis built a cheap version of it. The new Houthi missile is Mach 10 and can knock out US and UK ships in the region. The first was launched the other day and hit Israel undetected. The US responded by offering to recognize the Houthis as the government of Yemen. No response yet. Seems they really want to stop the Genocide in Gaza.

Russia made Iran a strategic partner. Iran has been given the Mach 12 Kinzhal which digs a hole 98 feet (30 meters) deep where its target used to be. They have also been given the Mach 9 Zircon cruise missile. The US and the UK Navies still are using subsonic Mach 0.7 missiles. Iran’s Navy has a cruise missile 12.86 times faster than ours.

Russia has also upgraded Iran to the S-400 air defense system. The US Patriot system is far worse than the old Soviet S-300 which made its debut in 1978. The Russians also gave them long range radar to eliminate sneak attacks. The Iranians already had developed radar that could detect stealth jets.

The Russians gave Iran the Murmansk BN Electronic Warfare system. It jams allied communications thousands of kilometers distant. The US Navy has parked their ships in the area so Israel could assign them incoming missiles and drones as targets. But the Murmansk BN will cancel that. Iran will jam communications taking those ships out of combat.

Iran is very cautious. They will limit the number of US Naval ships the Houthis are allowed to sink. Maybe, they will fire a few at an Israeli airbase to take it offline.

Hezbollah has been gathering information on Israel’s Iron Dome while forcing the Israelis to spend billions of American taxpayer dollars.

Previously, the Iranians received SU-35 jets. I assume the Iranians also received the Russian R-37 air to air 400-kilometer range missile. That is 218 miles further than America’s 50-mile range version. Iran has lots of drones and could fire the R-37 before US and Israeli jets got close enough to launch missiles at key Iranian assets.

Iran and Hezbollah could take out Israeli military targets and diminish both Israel’s electrical power grid and her oil stores. The Iranians will want to strike a balance between stopping the Genocide in Gaza and pushing Israel into launching WW III by using nuclear weapons against Lebanon and/or Iran.

If Israeli voters are plunged into darkness and they hear of gas rationing, they will run Netanyahu out of office and put him in jail awaiting trial for some serious crimes. Enraged Israeli voters and military officers might even want to add a few charges relating to the war in Gaza.

Putin, the Iranians and Hezbollah do not want Israel to escalate to WW III. Pakistan has hinted they would give an interested third party a Hydrogen bomb. They say Israel is a one bomb country.

If they attempt a third time to kill Trump and fail, Trump will win the election. If they kill him or print 20 million extra votes to steal another election, there will be a Civil War. The Guardian, a British newspaper, did a survey of Americans and found that 7.1 million Americans own 40 or more guns and 100,000 bullets. I think that a Civil War would start with Nationwide Food Riots. I think someone on the Right will blow up the electrical power lines taking electricity into New York, Washington DC, Baltimore and Boston. Tens of millions of illegal aliens were brought here to make a Civil War more winnable for the forces of destruction.

The Bankers are Globalists. Their goal is to replace One Man One Vote with One Bank One Vote. To have a global government, they must take down all nation states.

America is way over-populated in terms of resources. We supported our extravagant ways and gave the Bankers tens of trillions of dollars in graft because by printing Federal Reserve Notes and buying free stuff from overseas. At some point soon after the collapse of NATO’s war machine, foreigners will require real things instead of paper. They will do that by dumping dollars and US Treasury bonds and buying commodities. That will cut wages 60% in the US. And that will cause Nationwide Food Riot starting a Civil War.

After the pager incident in Lebanon, I heard rumors of an Israeli convoy headed to the Lebanese border. The Black Swan event could, as I said, be the humiliating failure of NATO weapons and armies. It will likely appear before the US election day November 5th. The destruction of the dollar will follow the death of American military power. You might think of those tens of millions of illegal immigrants as planned instruments in the destruction of NATO member states and Australia and New Zealand.

Sergey Glazyev is the Minister for Macroeconomics for the Eurasian Union. He wants to offer Debt cancellation to the Third World. If the Global South is willing to join BRIC+, then he would allow them to refuse to repay any loan denominated in dollars, pounds, euros or yen. That would be the end of the West for awhile. They can recover and rebuild but that will take time and lots of effort. The next BRICS+ meeting is in Kazan Russia on October 22nd to the 24th.

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Image: © N/A; The Nugget. AWIP: http://www.a-w-i-p.com/index.php/2024/09/29/has-nassim-taleb-s-black