The West Is Ramping Up Its Regime Change Campaign In Georgia
Andrew Korybko
Andrew Korybko's Newsletter
The immense political pressure being placed upon the ruling party by the West is punishment for its pragmatic domestic and foreign policies.
The Georgian capital of Tbilisi has been beset by increasingly violent unrest as the foreign-backed opposition desperately seeks to overturn the outcome of fall’s parliamentary elections.
They were won by the ruling Georgian Dream party, which is comprised of conservative-nationalists who won’t sacrifice their country’s objective national interests by sanctioning Russia or allowing Western “NGOs” to meddle in their affairs. It then froze EU accession talks till 2028 after the EU refused to recognize the results.
No self-respecting government like Georgia’s would continue trying to join an organization that denies the democratic mandate that it just received. The intention is to wait until the EU undergoes domestic political transformation, ideally by 2028, through the expected rise of more conservative-nationalist forces in the future who’d then recognize the aforesaid results. If they’re not recognized by that time, then this policy might be extended unless a regime change happens beforehand.
The situation is worsening as a result of the renascent Color Revolution and the French-born president refusing to leave office after her term expires later this month, both provocations of which are aided by the EU threatening sanctions and the US suspending its strategic partnership with Georgia. The immense political pressure being placed upon the ruling party is punishment for its pragmatic domestic and foreign policies.
Here are six background briefings to bring unaware readers up to speed:
■ 8 March 2023: “Georgia Is Targeted For Regime Change Over Its Refusal To Open A ‘Second Front’ Against Russia”
■ 11 March 2023: “Russia Called The US Out For Double Standards Towards Georgia-Moldova & Bosnia-Serbia”
■ 4 October 2023: “Armenia’s Impending Defection From The CSTO Places Georgia Back In The US’ Crosshairs”
■ 2 May 2024: “The West Simply Shrugged As Rioters Tried Storming The Georgian Parliament In A J6 Redux”
■ 30 September 2024: “Ukraine’s Disastrous Policy Towards Donbass Taught Georgia The Importance Of Reconciliation”
■ 30 October 2024: “Duda Claimed That Georgia’s Pro-Western President Has No Evidence Of Russian Meddling”
To summarize, Georgian Dream refused to open a “second front” against Russia in summer 2023 to assist Ukraine’s doomed counteroffensive, which was unforgiveable from the West’s perspective. Georgia’s geostrategic importance also spiked after the West “poached” Armenia from Russia’s “sphere of influence” since it then became indispensable for furthering their plans there. Georgian Dream is too patriotic to become their puppet, however, and that’s why they now consider it to be their enemy.
Western intelligence’s success in organizing the defection of several Georgian ambassadors is aimed at creating a “government-in-waiting” to replace Georgian Dream if the Color Revolution topples them, while convincing its French-born president to illegally remain in office is meant to turn her into a martyr. Potentially forthcoming sanctions could worsen the socio-economic situation there, thus making more people desperate enough to accept foreign funding to take part in the ongoing regime change campaign.
Although the Prime Minister said that “The Maidan scenario cannot be realized in Georgia”, that’s precisely the scenario that the West is orchestraiting. As the security services intervene to restore order, decontextualized footage of their “Democratic Security” operations in defense of their country’s national form of democracy will likely circulate to discredit the state and radicalize the rioters. Everything will therefore likely get a lot worse before it gets better, and Georgia might even slip into a full-fledged crisis.
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Image: © OpenStreeMap contributors. AWIP: http://www.a-w-i-p.com/index.php/aT5j
