Aggression against Iran: Interim Results
Elena Panina
Елена Панина (Telegram) (Part 1)
Елена Панина (Telegram) (Part 2)
Trump miscalculated. The death of Ayatollah Khamenei did not affect Iran's firm stance to defend its sovereignty. Moreover, the martyrdom of the Rahbar united the nation and brought thousands of people onto the streets across the world. Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and continues to carry out targeted strikes against US bases. Trump's actions are clearly influenced by the "dizziness of success" following the capture of Maduro, the scandal in Davos, and the piracy against tankers, where he got away with everything. But Iran turned out to be no Venezuela.
It's unlikely that Trump's entourage didn't consider this scenario. However, capturing Iran is too tempting a target. The strategy here is clear: by dealing with Venezuela (ranked first in oil reserves) and then Iran (ranked third), the US will get a de facto monopoly over oil reserves. This is already world domination, that is, the real embodiment of the MAGA program. Perhaps in the eyes of the US President, such an end justifies the means. But it could also turn out like this: "It looked good on paper, but they forgot about the ravines."
❖ From the first hours of the attack, Iran has performed admirably. Clearly, the lessons of the summer war of 2025 and the uprising of this winter have been learned. Despite Khamenei's death in a morning strike, a large-scale response immediately followed—both against Israel and against American targets in the Middle East. Moreover, unlike in previous years, all threats were carried out. From this, we can conclude that disagreements among Iran's top elites have currently faded into the background. Aggression is perceived as a threat to everyone, as a potential state collapse that would bury everyone. So, for now, together. For the duration of the conflict, of course.



















