
An exclusive interview with geopolitical analyst Mahmoud Allouch examines whether Turkey could become "Israel's" next target, the drivers of their growing strategic rivalry, Syria's central role, and how likely a military confrontation could unfold. | Alongside a wave of statements and analyses, questions have increasingly emerged over whether Turkey could become "Israel's" next target. The possibility of a military confrontation between Turkey and “Israel”, despite growing signs of friction and mutual strategic concerns, remains constrained by significant strategic limitations, even as their broader relationship has steadily evolved into a more visible and multidimensional form of geopolitical rivalry.
● This rivalry now spans a widening set of arenas, from the fragmented political landscape of Syria and the strategic waterways of the Eastern Mediterranean to emerging regional trade corridors and rival visions for shaping the post–Cold War order in West Asia.
● As a result, what was once primarily a cautious and often indirect relationship has become a sustained strategic rivalry. Speaking to Al Mayadeen English, geopolitical analyst and expert in Turkish affairs, Mahmoud Allouch argues that the relationship between Turkey and "Israel" has moved beyond a temporary diplomatic crisis into a phase of "intense strategic rivalry".
● 'Turkey is the new Iran' | During the annual Israeli Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations, held on February 17, 2026, several senior Israeli politicians attended, most notably Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. However, former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett took the most attention, sparking controversy and anger in Turkey, after he said, “Turkey is the new Iran”. That statement indicated that, once the war on Iran ends, “Israel” would shift its focus toward Turkey, viewing it as the next major threat. It is noteworthy that in recent months, other statements and analyses have also emerged carrying the same idea, whether from institutions or individuals close to or aligned with “Israel”. [Plus this: The Land of Israel + Ezekiel and the Tribes]