NATO Is Preparing Its Rear for a Major War in Europe

Elena Panina
Елена Панина (Telegram)

The document "2026 Resilience Baseline Requirements," recently published by NATO states:

💬"NATO’s military adaptation must be met with faster, stronger and more consistent efforts to strengthen resilience, especially civil support to military operations."

This is a unified doctrinal document that—for the time being—serves as a set of recommendations for Alliance member states.

It explicitly specifies a funding target: up to 1.5% of GDP for defense and security, including the aforementioned resilience measures. This is part of the projected 5% of GDP—the planned level of military and defense-related spending for NATO members by 2035. The remaining 3.5% will fund direct military expenditures. The document outlines seven basic sustainability requirements:

1️. Assured continuity of government and critical public services.
2️. Resilient energy supplies.
3️. Ability to manage the movement of people (both controlled and uncontrolled).
4️. Resilient food and water resources.
5️. Resilience against mass casualties and devastating health crises.
6️. Resilient civil communications systems.
7️. Resilient civil transport systems.

As can be seen, the list has been compiled competently. The key requirement is maintaining the resilience of the command and control system in wartime.

Another important conclusion: the NATO document “2026 Resilience Baseline Requirements” is geared toward a large-scale, high-intensity conventional conflict

As for Russia’s actions, when repelling NATO aggression, our preferred scenario is a nuclear one—given the North Atlantic Alliance’s overwhelming superiority in conventional armed forces.

First and foremost, the alliance’s command-and-control system—its headquarters and communications hubs—must be destroyed. Priority targets include the US Aegis Ashore missile defense bases in Poland (Redzikowo) and Romania (Deveselu), as well as storage sites for US tactical thermonuclear gravity bombs at seven airbases across six countries (Germany: Büchel; Italy: Aviano and Ghedi; Belgium: Kleine-Brogel; the Netherlands: Volkel; Turkey: Incirlik; and the UK: Lakenheath). The entire nuclear arsenals of Britain and France are also slated for destruction. Airfields and naval bases appear on the same list.

Second, NATO’s logistics infrastructure in Europe must be dismantled—including ports, railway hubs, and bridges—along with the alliance’s forward-deployed ground forces and the eight multinational battlegroups stationed in member states along the eastern flank: Bulgaria, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, and Estonia.

Consequently, most of the items outlined in the aforementioned NATO document would simply become irrelevant, given the extremely short duration of a nuclear war. As Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov recently stated:

💬"If Europe—which speaks daily of preparing for war against Russia—were to attack the Russian Federation, it would be a completely different kind of war, and a very short one."

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