Continuing the bullish game, or how to drag Asia into a religious world war

Alexander Staver
Top War

Events are moving so quickly that there's simply no time to analyze and dig deeper. Just recently, I wrote about how the US is pushing Pakistan into war with Afghanistan and, conversely, Afghanistan into war with Pakistan.

Today, we can already see why the US, and most importantly, Israel, wanted this war. What's hidden always comes to light. However, most people notice it too late, when the train has already left the station.

So, yesterday Israel began a military operation, or more precisely, an occupation, against Lebanon. They wrapped their desires in the beautiful packaging of creating a buffer zone and began the seizure. It will go unnoticed.

No one cares about Lebanon today. Tel Aviv is claiming no less than 15% of the territory. Not a bad “piece of the pie.” Moreover, the Jews are acting according to the model of the fascists in the late 1930s and early 1940s. "The Lebanese must leave this territory, or they will be destroyed!"

These are not the words of some deputy or official. This is an official statement by the Israeli government, slightly paraphrased by me. Concern for the Lebanese, you understand. Leave your homes, or we will start carpet bombing and have decided to clear the land for Israeli settlements. Israel doesn't have enough living space. The Arabs will manage. The Palestinians are managing somehow. Well, the Lebanese will settle nearby. Especially since they are being allowed to keep 85% of Lebanon out of mercy.

And what about the “international community”? Nothing. Everything is as usual, unless it concerns Russia or Belarus. We express our concern and urge the parties to the conflict to engage in dialogue. At the same time, there is zero action. It's understandable, because in the kennel, the boss is not the leader of the pack, but the kennel keeper. Just that, the kennel keeper. And the kennel keeper said that Israel must not be touched.

I have written many times that all international treaties today are not worth the paper they are written on. What “norms of international law,” what UN resolutions? The American president accurately described the situation when he spoke of “very bad Spain,” which refused to allow its military bases to be used by American troops. “If we want to, we'll fly in and deploy. And they won't do anything to us.” That's international law today.

And here's another thing about the war against Iran. Here, it's about two nuclear powers that have been “successfully hating each other” for years. I'm talking about Pakistan and India. It seems like they're far away and “will figure it out themselves, not for the first time.” Before, yeah, they were worried about how Russia and the US would react. Today, the situation has changed. I'll let you in on a little secret: I'm almost certain that we will see tactical nuclear weapons in action in the near future.

Why? Because neither the US nor Israel has succeeded in defeating Iran. The “blitzkrieg” failed. And they did not expect to fight a long war. A ground operation? Against Iranians enraged by the killing of children? No one is that foolish. Let the “second-rate” people fight the Persians. For Israelis and Americans, second-rate people are Arabs and others, including Russians, by the way. The Kurds are already lining up.

Trump's plan is clear. To turn the war into a religious bloodbath between Muslims. Shiites and Sunnis will slit each other's throats, while the “first-class” people watch the pictures on TV and lament the “savagery” of Asians. Impossible? Well, yes. But just last night, one of the religious leaders made a statement that “defending American bases is a sacred duty of Muslims.”

And this is where the question of Pakistan's nuclear weapons comes up. Trump has many options for forcing Pakistan to declare war on Iran. Islamabad is now in a precarious position, like a ball bearing under pressure. It seems strong, but no one can say to what extent. On the one hand, it is under pressure from the Americans, and on the other, from the Chinese. And India may soon join in. We are talking about very serious economic losses for both countries.

Why would the Americans want Pakistan to participate in the war? Let me remind you that Iran has completely blocked the Strait of Hormuz. Many analysts wrote at the time that it was not the US that would suffer the most, but Iran, Europe, and China. But that's not the case. Tehran understood this and has managed to outmatch its main enemies. And China is not Iran's enemy. Today, it receives oil through another port, Chabahar, which is located outside the Strait of Hormuz. Besides China, this port is also a source of oil for India!

So, it is precisely this port that Pakistan could occupy! I have already written about the trade routes that have been central to the conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan. Now, hydrocarbon supplies to China and India will also be included. What next? And then, if events continue to unfold along the same lines, New Delhi will be forced to stop Islamabad. How? Obviously not through persuasion. And Beijing will help with this. So we will have a “mess” involving three nuclear powers.

But that's not all. Above, I wrote about the “second-rate” countries that are supposed to fight for Washington's interests. Which country are we forgetting? The former Soviet republic that borders Iran has a fairly large diaspora there. Ah, Azerbaijan. Baku has already put its armed forces on high alert. They have already concentrated their army on the border. Why is that? Probably “exercises”...

And the most appalling thing: If Baku also enters the war, will Russia be able to remain neutral? It's a difficult question, and I won't give an answer. I believe that readers may want to ponder this question for themselves.

A very serious “mess” is brewing. It is very reminiscent of the 1930s. Only now is Asia being targeted instead of Europe. Europe will be on the “periphery” of the war. And the US will once again stand aside...

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